A new WCSH-WLBZ/SurveyUSA poll of 642 likely or actual voters conducted on Sunday and Monday finds Allen gaining on Collins, but likely not quickly enough to win the election now less than two weeks away. Collins leads 54-43 in the survey, compared to 55-39 four weeks ago.

This survey has a higher sampling of Democrats than the previous poll (28% of whom say they're voting for Collins).

The one ray of sunlight for Allen is the 14% of respondents who report that they've already voted. Allen is winning this group by 5 points (with a higher margin of error).

In the same poll, Obama is winning the second CD by 6 and the first by a stunning 22 points. In the poll 4 weeks ago, Obama led by 5 points in both districts.

It looks like McCain's spending in CD2 and the Palin visit have kept it from being a blowout like southern Maine, but this result puts it squarely in the second tier of battleground states, which include Virginia, Colorado, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania.

In a testament to his campaign's early voting operation, Obama leads by 27 points among those who have already voted. The poll has a ± 3.9% margin of error.

Pan Atlantic SMS will also be releasing a poll later today.